- Dirt ‘can be good for children’
- First photo of baby coelacanth
- Psychologists have been watching us on the subway. Here’s what they’ve learned.
Mon Nov 23, 2009
Thu Nov 19, 2009
Tue Nov 17, 2009
- Elephants and humans evolved similar solutions to problems of gas-guzzling brains
- Thinking of a loved one can reduce your pain
- Grumpy is good for careful but not creative thinking
- Men Leave: Separation And Divorce Far More Common When The Wife Is The Patient
- Foreign Subtitles Help but Native-Language Subtitles Harm Foreign Speech Perception
Mon Nov 16, 2009
Sat Nov 14, 2009
Thu Nov 12, 2009
Tue Nov 10, 2009
Wed Nov 11, 2009
The CDC in the US have come out with some interesting new numbers on H1N1.
They now estimate that 22,000,000 US residents have contracted H1N1. Of those, 98,000 have been hospitalized and 3,900 have died.
Several weeks ago I very conservatively estimated an 11 in 1,000,000 chance of dying from H1N1 and a 176 in 1,000,000 chance of being hospitalized because of it, vs. a 10 in 1,000,000 chance of serious vaccine complications. I advised that the shot was therefore a good bet.
The chance of serious vaccine complications has not changed, so we’re still looking at 10 in a million there. But those US numbers now indicate that we’re comparing that to a 177 in 1,000,000 chance of death and a 4,454 in 1,000,000 chance of hospitalization from H1N1 itself (that’s about 1 in 224).
It seems you are in fact 445 times more likely to end up in hospital because of H1N1 than because of the vaccine for it. And of course those numbers also indicate that you’re 17 times more likely to die of H1N1 than you are to have a serious complication from the vaccine.
The numbers will keep changing, of course, as H1N1 progresses and as we keep figuring out new ways to count things, and those US numbers may not reflect the situation in Canada, but at this point there’s no way it’ll ever look better than my conservative estimates.
So yes. Get the shot, when you can.
(Also, I admit I am amused that people are calling H1N1 “hiney”. Heh.)
- Real vs Placebo Coffee
- Study Finds Downloaders Spend More On Music
- Surgery Museum Makes You Grateful for Modern Healthcare
- How scientists determined how many humans two lions ate in 1898
Mon Nov 02, 2009
Sun Nov 01, 2009
Sun Nov 01, 2009
Tue Nov 03, 2009
- In a bad mood? According to research, it’s good for you
- Pain Of Torture Can Make Innocent Seem Guilty
- Wine and sea food: Red rags
- Why Does Public Transport Not Arrive on Time? The Pervasiveness of Equal Headway Instability
Tue Nov 03, 2009
Wed Oct 28, 2009
Thu Oct 29, 2009
Wed Oct 28, 2009